Case File · 16-A · Supplemental Investigation ·

Balcony Projectile Origin Study

Monte Carlo ballistics reconstruction, second examination · Zitan Tower · Greenfield District · Mandaluyong. Now with overhang interception, gust turbulence, bootstrap confidence bounds, and a verdict you can print and slide under a door.

Subject UnitFLOOR 16

Parameters Exhibit A

Balcony Facing 60° ENE Balcony Width 3.0 m Balcony Depth 2.0 m Floor Height 3.0 m Toss Mode

Flick Velocity 3.0 m/s Samples per Floor 2000 Overhang Interception

Wind Source Fetching

Wind Speed 3.0 m/s Wind From 90° E

Awaiting wind data…

Model v2: Quadratic drag, Cd≈1.0, butt mass 0.2g. Wind shear α=0.25 with per-step gust turbulence. Stacked balconies 17F to 34F can intercept falling butts. Posterior bootstrapped, 400 resamples.

TRAJECTORY RECONSTRUCTION · IDLE

Landed on 16F (hit) Caught by another balcony Fell to ground

Findings Exhibit B

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Most Probable Origin

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Open the investigation to compute the posterior.

Posterior by floor · click a floor to interrogate

Total Hits

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Hit Rate

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Intercepted

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Mean Fall

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Conviction Odds

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Wind Used

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Location

14.5836°N, 121.034°E

Tower

Zitan · 35F · ~105m

Subject Elevation

48 m AGL

Floors Above

18 (17F → 34F)

Parameters Exhibit A

Findings Exhibit B

Supplemental Report · For Distribution Under Doors